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Summer heat counted: Perth, Adelaide, Melbourne, Sydney

By · weather-au.com editorial team · Published · 5 min read

"Which Australian city is the hottest?" depends on what you count. Counting settles part of it. This article counts days at 35 °C or more for ten years, from 2016 to 2025, in Perth, Adelaide, Melbourne and Sydney, then looks at how those days are arranged: in long runs, or as isolated spikes. The two cases feel very different.

The figures are from ERA5, a reanalysis on a grid of roughly 25 km. A grid cell smooths the sharpest peaks and can differ from a station reading by a few degrees in either direction, so the maxima below are good for comparing cities and years, not for settling a record. For official station records and heatwave warnings, see the Bureau of Meteorology.

The scoreboard

Heat scoreboard, 2016–2025
CityDays ≥ 35 °C per year (average)Days ≥ 40 °C in ten yearsHottest day in the series (°C)DateNights with a minimum ≥ 25 °C, ten years
Sydney4.7442.04 Jan 20201
Melbourne7.81645.24 Jan 20190
Brisbane3.9141.716 Dec 20190
Perth16.21744.319 Feb 202430
Adelaide9.4642.824 Jan 201922
Hobart0.8240.531 Jan 20200
Darwin1.5035.823 Apr 20162 033
Canberra4.1342.34 Jan 20201

Open-Meteo, ERA5 archive, 2016–2025 (reanalysis, not a weather station); calculation by the editors.

Averaged over the ten years, Perth has 16.2 days a year at 35 °C or more, Adelaide 9.4, Melbourne 7.8, Sydney 4.7, Canberra 4.1, Brisbane 3.9 and Hobart 0.8. Perth's summer is also the driest of the four: the site's 1991–2020 normals give 41 mm of rain from December to February in Perth, against 65 mm in Adelaide, 153 mm in Melbourne and 251 mm in Sydney.

In days at 40 °C or more over the ten years, Perth counts 17, Melbourne 16, Adelaide 6, Sydney 4, Canberra 3, Hobart 2 and Brisbane 1. Melbourne is the surprise: it is a mild-looking city with 16 days at 40 °C, seven of them in the single year 2019.

The hottest day in each series: Melbourne 45.2 °C on 4 January 2019, Perth 44.3 °C on 19 February 2024, Adelaide 42.8 °C on 24 January 2019, Canberra 42.3 °C on 4 January 2020, Sydney 42.0 °C on 4 January 2020. The Hobart maximum is 40.5 °C (31 January 2020).

Year by year

Days at 35 °C or more, by calendar year
Grouped bars of the number of days with a maximum of 35 °C or more each year from 2016 to 2025 in Perth, Adelaide, Melbourne and Sydney: Perth never drops below 4 and reaches 26 in 2025, Adelaide peaks at 22 in 2019, Melbourne at 17 in 2019, Sydney at 12 in 2017.0102030days2016201720182019202020212022202320242025

PerthAdelaideMelbourneSydney

Open-Meteo, ERA5 archive, 2016–2025 (reanalysis, not a weather station); calculation by the editors.

Perth never has a quiet decade: its low is 4 days (2018) and its highs are 25 (2016), 23 (2022) and 26 (2025). Adelaide and Melbourne behave differently. Adelaide ranges from 2 days (2022) to 22 (2019), Melbourne from 3 (2022) to 17 (2019). Sydney has one big year (12 days in 2017), one empty year (none in 2022) and little else. Note that the hot summers do not line up across the four cities; a "bad summer" in Perth (2016, 2022) can be unremarkable in Sydney.

Spikes and plateaus

Counting days is not enough, because a run of six hot days is harder to live through than six isolated days. We counted runs of three or more consecutive days at 35 °C or more. That is a simple rule of our own, not the Bureau's heatwave definition, which compares three-day temperatures with local conditions.

  • Perth: 16 runs. Perth has 162 hot days in ten years, and many of them come in blocks. The longest is six days, 18 to 23 January 2022 (39.4 °C at the peak); two others have five days, 11 to 15 December 2019 and 19 to 23 January 2025, the latter reaching 42.8 °C.
  • Adelaide: 7 runs. The most severe is four days, 17 to 20 December 2019, with a maximum of 42.7 °C. Another four days come on 14 to 17 January 2019.
  • Canberra: 5 runs. The longest is six days, from 27 December 2019 to 1 January 2020, topping out at 37.6 °C.
  • Melbourne: 2 runs. Its 78 hot days arrive mostly alone or in pairs. The two runs are four days from 28 February to 3 March 2019 and three from 2 to 4 February 2025 (40.2 °C).
  • Sydney: none. Not one run of three days in ten years. Its 47 hot days appear as 42 separate episodes, 37 of them a single day.
The longest runs of 35 °C days, 2016–2025
CityFromToLength (days)Hottest day (°C)
Perth18 Jan 202223 Jan 2022639.4
Canberra27 Dec 20191 Jan 2020637.6
Perth19 Jan 202523 Jan 2025542.8
Perth11 Dec 201915 Dec 2019537.9
Perth14 Feb 202218 Feb 2022537.5
Adelaide17 Dec 201920 Dec 2019442.7
Perth25 Dec 202128 Dec 2021442.0
Perth7 Feb 201610 Feb 2016440.9
Perth7 Feb 202410 Feb 2024440.8
Canberra18 Dec 201921 Dec 2019439.9
Adelaide14 Jan 201917 Jan 2019439.3
Adelaide17 Jan 201820 Jan 2018439.1

Open-Meteo, ERA5 archive, 2016–2025 (reanalysis, not a weather station); calculation by the editors.

The data shows the pattern, not the cause. What it does say is that in Sydney 37 of the 42 hot episodes are a single day, while Perth's 91 episodes include 16 runs of three days or more.

Nights and months

Heat that lets a house cool overnight is a different thing from heat that does not. Counting nights where the minimum stays at 25 °C or above, over the full ten years: Perth 30 nights, Adelaide 22, Sydney 1, Canberra 1, Melbourne, Hobart and Brisbane none. Treat the counts as a ranking rather than a measurement: a reanalysis grid cell is not a street.

The calendar matters too, and the southern summer is the other way round from what a European reader expects. In Perth the 35 °C days fall in January (48 of the 162), February (42), December (37), March (21), November (12) and even April (2). In Adelaide January has 37 of 94, and March 8. Hot days in Sydney have a different distribution: 15 in December, 14 in January, only 7 in February.

What to do with this

  1. If you travel to Perth between December and March, plan the day around the heat, not the season. Check the forecast on the Perth page and the UV map before you go out.
  2. If you live in Adelaide, the number that should worry you is not the yearly mean but the run: four days in a row at 42 °C is a different event from four scattered 35 °C days.
  3. In Sydney or Melbourne, a hot day rarely makes a hot spell. Runs of three days at 35 °C happen twice in ten years in Melbourne and never in Sydney.
  4. Heat and fire weather overlap, but they are not the same: see fire-season weather for the combination with wind.

Period of the data cited: 2016–2025.

Sources

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