weather-au.com

Home › Paterson (Tocal AWS): weather history since 1968

Paterson (Tocal AWS): weather history since 1968

Paterson (Tocal AWS) is a weather station located 30 m above sea level, 12 km from Raworth. Its records go back to 1968: 42 years of temperature are available up to 2025, along with rainfall and a comparison with two reference normals. Over 1991–2020 the annual mean temperature there is 18.3 °C; the 1961–1990 period is not documented well enough to compare. The warmest year of the series is 2024 (19.2 °C) and the coldest 1972 (17.2 °C). The last complete year, 2025, ranks 2 out of 42, from warmest to coldest. Over 1968–2025, the annual mean temperature changes by +0.21 °C per decade. The station ranks 94 out of 227 stations, from the fastest rise to the slowest.

Annual mean temperature since 1968

1617181920
196819801990200020102025
Mean temperature of the year   10-year running mean   1991–2020 normal (18.3 °C)

The first ten years of the series (1972–1984) average 17.8 °C; the last ten (2014–2025) average 18.7 °C, a difference of +0.9 °C. Of the ten warmest years in the series, 7 fall after 1999. The warmest is 2024 (19.2 °C). The ten-year running mean peaks at 18.7 °C (2025) and bottoms out at 17.8 °C (1990).

Annual rainfall since 1968

050010001500
196819801990200020102025
Rainfall of the year   Series average (943 mm)

On average 943 mm of rain falls per year over the 51 documented years. The wettest year, 2022, received 1359 mm; the driest, 1980, only 483 mm, which is 2.8 times less. The 1991–2020 normal (910 mm per year) is 46 mm (4.8 %) below the 1961–1990 one (956 mm). Over 1991–2020, February is on average the wettest month (122 mm) and August the driest (35 mm). Between 1999 and 2023, 9 years out of 20 exceeded the series average.

Monthly normals: 1961–1990 against 1991–2020

The table compares, month by month, the mean temperature and the rainfall total of two thirty-year reference periods. The difference column shows what the recent period changes compared with the earlier one.

Monthly temperature and rainfall normals, 1961–1990 and 1991–2020
MonthTemp. 1961–1990Temp. 1991–2020DifferenceRain 1961–1990Rain 1991–2020Difference
January–24.2 °C–134 mm89 mm−45 mm
February–23.4 °C–120 mm122 mm+2 mm
March–21.7 °C–123 mm114 mm−9 mm
April–18.5 °C–87 mm84 mm−3 mm
May–15.4 °C–79 mm63 mm−16 mm
June–12.9 °C–68 mm84 mm+16 mm
July11.4 °C12.1 °C+0.7 °C37 mm41 mm+4 mm
August12.6 °C13.3 °C+0.7 °C40 mm35 mm−5 mm
September15.1 °C16.1 °C+1.0 °C45 mm47 mm+2 mm
October17.9 °C18.6 °C+0.7 °C76 mm60 mm−16 mm
November–20.8 °C–78 mm80 mm+2 mm
December22.6 °C22.7 °C+0.1 °C69 mm91 mm+22 mm

For rainfall, the largest difference is in December (+22 mm) and the smallest in January (−45 mm).

Records at Paterson (Tocal AWS)

  • Warmest year: 19.2 °C, in 2024
  • Coldest year: 17.2 °C, in 1972
  • Driest year: 483 mm, in 1980
  • Wettest year: 1359 mm, in 2022
  • Warmest month: 27.9 °C, in January 2019
  • Coldest month: 10.4 °C, in July 1971
  • Wettest month: 546 mm, in April 2015
  • Hottest day: 47.0 °C, on 11 February 2017
  • Coldest day: −4.7 °C, on 16 July 1970
  • Heaviest rain in one day: 242.6 mm, on 21 April 2015

2.0 °C separate the warmest year of the series from the coldest. Between the hottest and the coldest day on record, the range reaches 51.7 °C.

Temperature trend over 1968–2025

The regression line of annual mean temperature changes by +0.21 °C per decade between 1968 and 2025, about +1.2 °C over the whole period. That is faster than the median of the 227 stations (+0.19 °C per decade), by 0.02 °C per decade: the station ranks 94 out of 227.

The last 24 months against the 1991–2020 normal

−202
October 2024September 2026
Warmer than the 1991–2020 normal   Cooler than the 1991–2020 normal

Over the last 24 months (October 2024 to September 2026), 20 months out of 24 were warmer than the 1991–2020 normal for the same month; the mean departure is +1.0 °C. The highest departure was in December 2024 (+2.4 °C); the lowest, in June 2025 (−0.6 °C).

Temperature and rainfall of recent months, compared with the 1991–2020 normals
MonthTemperatureDeparture from normalRainNormal rain
October 202418.3 °C−0.3 °C54 mm60 mm
November 202422.6 °C+1.8 °C–80 mm
December 202425.1 °C+2.4 °C–91 mm
January 202524.0 °C−0.2 °C–89 mm
February 202523.8 °C+0.4 °C30 mm122 mm
March 202522.8 °C+1.1 °C207 mm114 mm
April 202519.4 °C+0.9 °C199 mm84 mm
May 202516.3 °C+0.9 °C210 mm63 mm
June 202512.3 °C−0.6 °C12 mm84 mm
July 202512.4 °C+0.3 °C87 mm41 mm
August 202513.5 °C+0.2 °C196 mm35 mm
September 202516.8 °C+0.7 °C48 mm47 mm
October 202520.8 °C+2.2 °C30 mm60 mm
November 202522.9 °C+2.1 °C–80 mm
December 202523.9 °C+1.2 °C41 mm91 mm
January 202624.1 °C−0.1 °C99 mm89 mm
February 202625.4 °C+2.0 °C63 mm122 mm
March 202623.0 °C+1.3 °C69 mm114 mm
April 202619.2 °C+0.7 °C17 mm84 mm
May 202617.3 °C+1.9 °C134 mm63 mm
June 202614.4 °C+1.5 °C31 mm84 mm
July 202612.9 °C+0.8 °C46 mm41 mm
August 202613.8 °C+0.5 °C36 mm35 mm
September 202618.1 °C+2.0 °C18 mm47 mm

Data source and licence

Data source: Bureau of Meteorology (ACORN-SAT) and NOAA NCEI (GHCN-Daily) (dataset “ACORN-SAT v2 daily (homogenised) + GHCN-Daily”), licence CC BY 4.0; Public domain (NOAA NCEI). Last updated: 29 October 2026.

The data for Paterson (Tocal AWS) are shown as the source publishes them; this site does not correct them. A year is kept only if at least eleven months of measurements are available, and a normal is computed only with at least twenty years of data out of its thirty. Temperatures are rounded to 0.1 °C and rainfall to the millimetre. The station is one of 227 stations in Australia: the overview page lets you compare them.

Frequently asked questions

What is the annual mean temperature at Paterson (Tocal AWS)?

Over 1991–2020, the annual mean temperature at Paterson (Tocal AWS) is 18.3 °C.

What is the warmest year ever measured at Paterson (Tocal AWS)?

Since records began in 1968, the warmest year at Paterson (Tocal AWS) is 2024, at 19.2 °C on average. The coldest is 1972 (17.2 °C).

Is the climate at Paterson (Tocal AWS) getting warmer?

Yes: at Paterson (Tocal AWS), the annual mean temperature rises by 0.21 °C per decade between 1968 and 2025, +1.2 °C in total. 7 of the 10 warmest years in the series fall after 1999.

Towns near this station

Neighbouring stations

See all stations in the weather history