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Heavy rain: 60 mm in 24 h expected in Charleville

Automated newsroom of weather-au.com · Published · Updated · 3 min read

The model forecasts 60 mm of rain in 24 hours in Charleville (Queensland) on 30 October 2026, above the local threshold of 30 mm. Such a total quickly saturates soils and drainage, especially if it falls within a few hours.

The figures

7 cities tracked by weather-au.com in Australia exceed the 30 mm threshold for this phenomenon. The most affected is Charleville (Queensland) with 60 mm on 30 October 2026. Other cities affected: Mitchell, Walkerston and Hay Point. The event is expected from 30 October 2026 to 31 October 2026. These are model forecasts for the city's grid point, not measurements.

Cities affected

CityElevationDayRain in 24 h (mm)Local threshold (mm)Monthly normalShare of monthly normal
Charleville299 m30 October 20266030.026.7224 %
Mitchell340 m30 October 20263830.037.8101 %
Walkerston26 m31 October 20263730.029.6124 %
Hay Point9 m30 October 20263630.029.4121 %
Mackay11 m31 October 20263230.029.4109 %
Barcaldine269 m30 October 20263230.021.9145 %
Sarina17 m30 October 20263130.036.187 %

Timeline

For Charleville, the model puts the maximum around 20:00. The chart and the table give the hour-by-hour forecast over 14 hours; the quantity shown is the hourly rain (mm) on the day of the peak, when it falls within 72 hours. A narrow peak means a short, intense episode, a broad curve a lasting one.

The hourly rain (mm) on the day of the peak, when it falls within 72 hours
Timeline – The hourly rain (mm) on the day of the peak, when it falls within 72 hours051015mm1011121314151617181920212223
Timeline
HourRain in 24 h (mm)
10:000.2
11:003.5
12:003.1
13:002.1
14:000.3
15:007.0
16:006.5
17:003.4
18:006.4
19:0011.9
20:0014.6
21:000.9
22:000.0
23:000.0

The map

The map locates the most affected cities in Australia (at most 7). Where several dots touch, the event is widespread; an isolated dot means a local event, caused by terrain or by a nearby lake or sea.

Charleville : 60 mmMitchell : 38 mmWalkerston : 37 mmHay Point : 36 mmMackay : 32 mmBarcaldine : 32 mmSarina : 31 mmCharlevilleWalkerstonCharlevilleMitchellWalkerstonHay Point
The darker the colour, the closer the value is to that of the most affected city. Unaffected cities are not drawn.

Historical context

The Charleville station, 2 km from Charleville, has a measurement series going back to 1910 and serves as the reference. Its heaviest one-day rainfall there is 159 mm, recorded on 25 March 1949. The value forecast for Charleville is 38% of it.

The wettest month in the series is March 2010 (325 mm); the one-day rain forecast for Charleville is 18% of it.

In Charleville, the 1991–2020 normal monthly total for October is 27 mm; the one-day rain forecast is 224% of it.

What it means

One millimetre of rain is one litre of water per square metre: 60 mm means 60 litres on every square metre of Charleville in a day. The local threshold of 30 mm comes from the estimated daily 95th percentile of the nearest reference station, with a floor of 30 mm, or is a fixed 50 mm when no station is close; crossing it does not mean a flood, but soil and rivers then have little margin.

What to do

  • Stay away from riverbanks, underpasses and basements during the rain peaks: water rises faster than you think.
  • Clear gutters, drains and gullies in front of your home before the episode, and move valuables off the ground floor and out of the cellar.
  • Never cross a flooded road on foot or by car: 30 cm of water is enough to destabilise a vehicle. Check river levels if your municipality publishes them.

Related pages

This page is a snapshot of the forecast of 30 October 2026. It is not changed afterwards, even if the model moves on: up-to-date forecasts are on the city pages linked on this page.

Method and limits

The figures in this article are computed automatically from the Open-Meteo forecasts for the cities tracked by weather-au.com. An article is written only if a precise threshold is crossed (a 24-hour rainfall above the 95th percentile of the nearest reference station (fixed threshold of 50 mm without a reference series, never below 30 mm)), at most 2 times a week per country, and never twice for the same event. Forecasts are recomputed three times a day, so an event can be spotted up to eight hours late. A forecast is not a measurement and does not replace official warnings: check the official warnings (Bureau of Meteorology) before any decision.

Sources